
I know you wish he was still playing….Duke leads the pack in the South Region and Coach K has fielded the best team he’s had since the days of Mr. Redick. Jon Sheyer who began his career as the fugazy JJ has turned himself into one of the country’s best players. Villanova, Baylor and Purdue close out the top 4 teams in the region respectively. Villanova ended their season on a skid, getting smashed by Syracuse and then losing to West Virginia and Marquette in the final week of the season. Baylor is a great team, coming in from the Big 12 Conference and have beaten a talented Texas team twice.
(1) Duke vs (16) Arkansas-Pine Bluff/Winthrop: Duke doesn’t have any weaknesses. Jon Sheyer, Lance Thomas, Kyle Singler, Brian Zoubek and Nolan Smith are all seniors and have not made a serious run at the National Championship during their time there. Coach K doesn’t need any more praise, the guy’s a genius and gives Duke a legitimate shot at the title.
(2) Villanova vs. (15) Robert Morris: Scottie Reynolds and Corey Fisher hold down one of the quickest backcourts in college basketball. The four-guard attack they run creates serious matchup problems for anyone they face, and coming off of last year’s Final Four run they have the experience to go deep in this year’s tournament.
(3) Baylor vs. (14) Sam Houston State: Baylor has a deep team that proved it could contend with Kansas (lost by 5) and beat Texas twice. Guard LaceDarius Dunn and center Ekpe Udoh lead the Baylor’s balanced attacked on offense. Baylor is experienced and doesn’t rely on one player to do all their scoring.
(4) Purdue vs. (13) Siena: The loss of First-Team All-Big Ten player Robbie Hummel changes Purdue’s chances drastically. With him, they were pushing for a #1 seed in the tournament before losing to Michigan State and Minnesota, by 27, in the Big Ten tournament. The Boilermakers are still very capable of beating Siena, but don’t forget, this is the same Siena team that ousted Big Ten’s Ohio State last year. Ryan Rossitter looks like he’s an overgrown 11 year old, but the guy is a presence and is automatic from the free throw line. People are talking about Siena like they’re the favorite in this game, they’ve beaten Big 10 schools in the first round two straight years, and now that the public is finally behind them, they’ll blow it. Chris Kramer and the Purdue defense has something to prove.

(5) Texas A&M vs. (12) Utah State: This game is a coinflip. Both teams are very comparable on paper: their RPI ranks are close and they’ve beaten similar teams. In a matchup like this, I tend to like the team from the stronger conference, which in this case is Texas A&M who have beaten Baylor, Texas and Clemson.
(6) Notre Dame vs. (11) Old Dominion: Notre Dame is the classic case of a team coming in streaking, blazing hot into the tournament. Two weeks ago they were on the wrong side of the bubble, but their run to the Big East semis gave them a 6-seed. Beating West Virginia, Georgetown, and Pitt twice, the Fighting Irish have dominant player in Luke Harangody, and like every Notre Dame team, have two three-ballers that can take over a game if they start to feel it (Tim Abromaitis and Ben Hansbrough).
(7) Richmond vs. (10) St. Mary’s: Richmond’s 26-8 record and 5-3 record against RPI Top 50 proves that they are worthy of their 7 seed. RPI’s aren’t the best gauge of absolute talent, but their wins over Temple and Xavier and overall consistent play in the A-10 will make them a tough out. Kevin Anderson is one of the best guards in the tournament, and would match up nice in a potential second round matchup with the guards from Villanova.
(8) California vs. (9) Louisville: Louisville has been streaky all season. They swept Syracuse which is very impressive, but that could just be the product of great scouting and matchups. Louisville will be a tough out, and if Duke doesn’t play carefully they could get upset in a potential second round matchup. Cal won the Pac-10 regular season title, but there was really no competition out there this season. Pitino knows how to get his players up for the big game. Edgar Sosa will have his team ready to go as he wants to up his draft stock as well. And I heard he got a new tat for the tournament.

Sweet 16: Duke, Old Dominion, Baylor, Villanova
Elite 8: Duke, Baylor
Final Four/Regional Champ: Duke



















